Cutting Through The Crap

Friday, October 21, 2011

Is It Getting Hotter In Here?


It's gotta be hard to be a denier. Think how much brain power could be released and used constructively, were the energy required to maintain the force field diverted to benefit mankind. Anyhow, here's but more information about climate change, confirming (as if it's needed) everything we already know. And, as my bolding below emphasizes, it's from a group made up of, and funded by, skeptics.

FOR those who question whether global warming is really happening, it is necessary to believe that the instrumental temperature record is wrong. That is a bit easier than you might think.

There are three compilations of mean global temperatures, each one based on readings from thousands of thermometers, kept in weather stations and aboard ships, going back over 150 years. Two are American, provided by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), one is a collaboration between Britain’s Met Office and the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (known as Hadley CRU). And all suggest a similar pattern of warming: amounting to about 0.9°C over land in the past half century.

To most scientists, that is consistent with the manifold other indicators of warming—rising sea-levels, melting glaciers, warmer ocean depths and so forth—and convincing. Yet the consistency among the three compilations masks large uncertainties in the raw data on which they are based. Hence the doubts, husbanded by many eager sceptics, about their accuracy. A new study, however, provides further evidence that the numbers are probably about right....

Part of the point would be to encourage more scientists and statisticians to test the existing analyses—and a group backed by Novim, a research outfit in Santa Barbara, California, has recently done just that.

Marshalled by an astrophysicist, Richard Muller, this group, which calls itself the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature, is notable in several ways. When embarking on the project 18 months ago, its members (including Saul Perlmutter, who won the Nobel prize for physics this month for his work on dark energy) were mostly new to climate science. And Dr Muller, for one, was mildly sceptical of its findings. This was partly, he says, because of “climategate”: the 2009 revelation of e-mails from scientists at CRU which suggested they had sometimes taken steps to disguise their adjustments of inconvenient palaeo-data. With this reputation, the Berkeley Earth team found it unusually easy to attract sponsors, including a donation of $150,000 from the Koch Foundation.

Yet Berkeley Earth’s results, as described in four papers currently undergoing peer review, but which were nonetheless released on October 20th, offer strong support to the existing temperature compilations.


I'll be right over there, waiting by my laptop, ready to read about Rick Perry's, et al, change of opinion.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sid, Sid, Sid, Sid,...
I thought YOU were the one who believed the Earth was a trillion years old...
Cause if it is, only goin back 211 years, is a little ummm whats that term?
"Insignificant"
and I checked Wikipedia, and Berkley wasn't even a city until 1878, so how do they know what the temperature was in a city 78 years before it was a city???...
Me thinks someones playin fast and loose with the Data...
OK, I know, the Native Americans had sophistocated thermometers using nothing but buffalo skins and tom-toms...
and I'm not sayin the Summer's haven't been a little warmer recently, but I thought it was the El Nino' thang...
and in the South, we LIKE hot steamy Summers, makes that ice cold AC that much more enjoyable...

Frank

Health Train Express said...

Thanks Sid.. I can sleep better tonite and my heating bill will be 0.9 % lower this winter? Is that an accurate extrapolation ?

Sid Schwab said...

No, Gary, I don't believe it is. But you might want to avoid leaving valuables on the basement floor.